Can Cheshire Solve Their Second-Chance Problem?

The Cheshire Phoenix boast a defensive rebounding percentage (DReb%) of 71.9%, second in the SLB and a clear indicator of their dominance on the boards. Yet, despite this strength, they concede 10.39 second-chance points per game—one of the highest rates in the league.

As the chart below illustrates, Cheshire’s high DReb% stands in stark contrast to their struggles in limiting second-chance opportunities. While their rebounding numbers suggest control, their defensive outcomes tell a different story.

This disconnect between rebounding dominance and defensive outcomes raises questions. Why do Cheshire allow so many second-chance points despite excelling on the defensive glass? The answer may lie in their roster composition and tactical priorities.


Roster Construction and Its Impact

Cheshire’s roster is built around versatile, perimeter-oriented players. While this approach enhances flexibility and disrupts opponents’ offences, it may create challenges near the rim.

These smaller, switchable players often lack the physicality to consistently box out or contest offensive rebounders. Even with good positioning, they may struggle to prevent putbacks or secure contested rebounds. This trade-off between versatility and physical presence may explain why Cheshire, despite excelling in DReb%, still concede significant second-chance opportunities.

At the same time, this roster design complements Cheshire’s fast-break ambitions, which are among the most effective in the league.


Transition Ambitions and Defensive Trade-Offs

Cheshire’s strong transition offence, averaging 15.6 fast-break points per game, may also contribute to their second-chance struggles. With 17.9% of their total points coming from fast breaks, they are one of the league’s most dangerous teams in transition.

This tactical emphasis often sees players “leaking out” early, prioritising transition opportunities over securing defensive rebounds. While this strategy boosts their scoring efficiency, it leaves the basket exposed, enabling opponents to capitalise on second-chance opportunities.

The interplay between their fast-break focus and roster composition highlights a tactical trade-off. Cheshire’s strengths in transition offence amplify their vulnerability near the basket, where rebounding mismatches can be exploited.


The Path Forward

While Cheshire’s rebounding numbers and transition efficiency highlight their strengths, their struggles with second-chance points reveal a key area for improvement. To fully capitalise on their potential, they must strike a balance between their offensive ambitions and defensive responsibilities.

Potential solutions include:

  1. Transition Discipline: Ensuring players remain engaged on the defensive boards before initiating fast breaks.
  2. Rotational Adjustments: Against teams with dominant rebounders, Cheshire could prioritise lineups with more size and physicality, ensuring they’re not outmatched near the rim.

By addressing this second-chance vulnerability, Cheshire could transform from a dangerous team into a genuine title contender, capitalising on both their rebounding strength and transition firepower.